Bangladesh Bank Governor Ahsan H Mansur has announced that the central bank will increase the policy rate twice within the next month to combat rising inflation. During a press briefing on Monday, Mansur said, “We will follow a contractionary monetary policy until inflation is brought under control. The policy rate will be raised next week and again next month.”
The governor expressed optimism about inflation stabilizing by March or April, although he did not specify the expected inflation rate. “While we can’t predict the exact level of inflation, we will tighten policies to bring it down. Our exchange rate remains stable, and remittances are on the rise, which should help ease inflationary pressures,” Mansur added.
Recent Rate Hike Follows a Series of Increases
On 25 August, the central bank raised the policy rate by 50 basis points, bringing it to 9% as part of its efforts to tackle high inflation. This marked the third increase in the key interest rate this year. Mansur had previously indicated that the policy rate, or repo rate, could potentially rise to 10% in phases.
Plans to Merge Smaller Islamic Banks
The governor also discussed the possibility of consolidating smaller Islamic banks. “Merging smaller banks would be beneficial. While no formal decision has been made, we are considering the option,” he said. Mansur explained that past irregularities had caused some bank owners to lose their ownership, which could make the process of consolidation easier.
He assured that depositors’ funds would be safeguarded, even if the banks are merged. “We will take actions based on the situation, but depositors’ money will be returned,” Mansur promised.
Task Force Established for Banking Sector Reform
Mansur further outlined that a task force has been formed to address issues in the banking sector, focusing on identifying distressed assets and recovering them. Initially, the task force will work with three banks, followed by an additional six. The team consists of 14 Bangladesh Bank officials, divided into three groups, with six members specifically overseeing larger Islamic banks.
Development partners will provide funding for these efforts, with external and international auditing firms assisting in the process. “Our first step will be to assess how much money has been withdrawn, both in name and covertly. If funds have been transferred abroad, we will work on bringing them back under international law,” Mansur explained.
Liquidity Support for Weaker Banks
The governor noted that some depositors were shifting their funds from weaker banks to stronger ones, creating liquidity challenges for the former. To address this, the central bank will provide funds from more liquid banks to those in need, ensuring that Bangladesh Bank covers any shortfalls if weaker banks are unable to repay.
Potential Changes in Bank Loan Targets
Mansur also mentioned the possibility of reducing the budget target for bank loans by Tk50,000 crore. This move could potentially boost private sector investment. “If we can reduce inflation to around 4%-5%, we will have the opportunity to lower interest rates,” he stated.
